feat(ui): 清爽专业风设计系统与界面重构

设计令牌(tailwind.config.js):
- brand 11 档蓝色阶、ink 11 档冷灰色阶、win/draw/loss 语义色
- 中文字体栈、tabular-nums 数字等宽、2xs 字号
- borderRadius card/pill、boxShadow card/raise/focus、fade-up/shimmer 动画

组件层(index.css):
- @layer base: 全局背景/字色/抗锯齿、统一焦点环、自定义滚动条,
  尊重 prefers-reduced-motion
- @layer components: .card .btn .field .pill .skeleton .segment

界面:
- App.tsx: SVG 队徽替代 emoji、sticky 毛玻璃头部、服务状态指示、页脚免责声明
- Matches.tsx: 比赛列表卡片化;新增 TeamMark(队名哈希色相队标)、
  EdgeBar(home_edge 双向可视化)、OutcomeCard、AgentCard(状态徽章+证据
  列表+无数据说明)、骨架屏;SVG Spinner 替代 emoji 转圈

可用性修复:
- 预测面板拆为独立的胜平负/置信度/模式/耗时卡片,胜平负与比分各有
  独立可视化条
- 移动端横向溢出:比赛行改为 flex-col -> sm:flex-row,元信息与操作按钮重排
- 无数据专家卡片补充说明文案,不再空白

保留原有契约:loadSeq/predictSeq 竞态防护、游标分页、全部类型定义。

验证:tsc --noEmit(strict)0 错误;vite build 成功;
360/390/414/768/1280px 五档实测 scrollWidth === viewport,零横向溢出。

frontend/src/pages/Matches.tsx

@@ -65,6 +65,96 @@ const LEAGUES = [
   { code: 'F1', name: '法甲' },
 ]
 
+const STATUS_META: Record<string, { label: string; cls: string }> = {
+  finished: { label: '已完赛', cls: 'bg-ink-100 text-ink-600' },
+  scheduled: { label: '未开赛', cls: 'bg-brand-50 text-brand-700' },
+  live: { label: '进行中', cls: 'bg-emerald-50 text-emerald-700' },
+}
+
+/** 1x2 → 中文标签 */
+const OUTCOME_LABEL: Record<string, string> = { '1': '主胜', X: '平局', '2': '客胜' }
+
+/** 队名取首字作视觉标记(替代队徽图片,避免额外资源与 404) */
+function initial(name: string): string {
+  return (name || '?').trim().charAt(0)
+}
+
+/** 依据队名生成一个稳定的色相,让不同球队有可区分的淡色底 */
+function hueOf(name: string): number {
+  let h = 0
+  for (let i = 0; i < name.length; i++) h = (h * 31 + name.charCodeAt(i)) % 360
+  return h
+}
+
+function TeamMark({ name, size = 40 }: { name: string; size?: number }) {
+  const h = hueOf(name)
+  return (
+    <span
+      className="flex flex-shrink-0 items-center justify-center rounded-lg font-semibold"
+      style={{
+        width: size,
+        height: size,
+        fontSize: size * 0.4,
+        background: `hsl(${h} 70% 96%)`,
+        color: `hsl(${h} 55% 38%)`,
+        border: `1px solid hsl(${h} 60% 88%)`,
+      }}
+      aria-hidden="true"
+    >
+      {initial(name)}
+    </span>
+  )
+}
+
+/** 置信度条:把 0~1 的数值可视化,比纯数字更易读 */
+function Meter({ value, tone = 'brand' }: { value: number; tone?: 'brand' | 'emerald' | 'amber' }) {
+  const pct = Math.max(0, Math.min(100, Math.round(value * 100)))
+  const bar =
+    tone === 'emerald' ? 'bg-emerald-500' : tone === 'amber' ? 'bg-amber-500' : 'bg-brand-500'
+  return (
+    <div className="h-1.5 w-full overflow-hidden rounded-pill bg-ink-200" role="presentation">
+      <div className={`h-full rounded-pill ${bar} transition-[width] duration-500`} style={{ width: `${pct}%` }} />
+    </div>
+  )
+}
+
+/** home_edge(-1~1,正=利主队)的可视化:以中线为原点的双向条 */
+function EdgeBar({ value }: { value: number }) {
+  const v = Math.max(-1, Math.min(1, value))
+  const half = Math.abs(v) * 50
+  return (
+    <div className="relative h-1.5 w-full overflow-hidden rounded-pill bg-ink-200" role="presentation">
+      <span className="absolute left-1/2 top-0 h-full w-px -translate-x-1/2 bg-ink-300" />
+      <span
+        className={`absolute top-0 h-full transition-all duration-500 ${v >= 0 ? 'bg-brand-500' : 'bg-amber-500'}`}
+        style={
+          v >= 0
+            ? { left: '50%', width: `${half}%` }
+            : { right: '50%', width: `${half}%` }
+        }
+      />
+    </div>
+  )
+}
+
+/** 骨架屏行,替代 emoji spinner */
+function SkeletonRows({ n = 4 }: { n?: number }) {
+  return (
+    <>
+      {Array.from({ length: n }).map((_, i) => (
+        <div key={i} className="flex items-center gap-4 rounded-card border border-ink-200 bg-white p-4">
+          <div className="skeleton h-10 w-10 rounded-lg" />
+          <div className="flex-1 space-y-2">
+            <div className="skeleton h-3.5 w-40" />
+            <div className="skeleton h-3 w-24" />
+          </div>
+          <div className="skeleton h-8 w-20 rounded-lg" />
+        </div>
+      ))}
+    </>
+  )
+}
+
 export default function Matches() {
   const [league, setLeague] = useState('E0')
   const [status, setStatus] = useState('scheduled')
@@ -74,6 +164,7 @@ export default function Matches() {
   const [loading, setLoading] = useState(false)
   const [predictingId, setPredictingId] = useState<number | null>(null)
   const [prediction, setPrediction] = useState<Prediction | null>(null)
+  const [predictionFor, setPredictionFor] = useState<Match | null>(null)
   const [error, setError] = useState<string | null>(null)
   const [mode, setMode] = useState<'single' | 'multi'>('multi')
 
@@ -106,7 +197,7 @@ export default function Matches() {
   }, [league, status])
 
   // 加载下一页(游标分页)。后端已支持 cursor,前端此前未使用,
-  // 导致 limit=50 之后的数据永远看不到(见审查报告 P2-8)。
+  // 导致 limit=50 之后的数据永远看不到。
   const loadMore = async () => {
     if (!nextCursor || loadingMore) return
     const seq = loadSeq.current // 不做自增:切换筛选会自增,这里只跟随当前序列
@@ -130,16 +221,17 @@ export default function Matches() {
 
   useEffect(() => { load() }, [load])
 
-  const predict = async (matchId: number) => {
+  const predict = async (m: Match) => {
     const seq = ++predictSeq.current
-    setPredictingId(matchId)
+    setPredictingId(m.id)
     setError(null)
     setPrediction(null)
+    setPredictionFor(m)
     try {
       const res = await fetch('/api/v1/predict', {
         method: 'POST',
         headers: { 'Content-Type': 'application/json' },
-        body: JSON.stringify({ match_id: matchId, mode }),
+        body: JSON.stringify({ match_id: m.id, mode }),
       })
       if (seq !== predictSeq.current) return
       if (!res.ok) {
@@ -162,205 +254,499 @@ export default function Matches() {
     return d.toLocaleString('zh-CN', { month: '2-digit', day: '2-digit', hour: '2-digit', minute: '2-digit' })
   }
 
+  const leagueName = LEAGUES.find(l => l.code === league)?.name ?? league
+
   return (
     <div className="space-y-4">
-      {/* 筛选 */}
-      <div className="flex gap-3 items-center flex-wrap">
-        <select value={league} onChange={e => setLeague(e.target.value)}
-          className="border rounded px-3 py-1.5 text-sm">
-          {LEAGUES.map(l => <option key={l.code} value={l.code}>{l.name}</option>)}
-        </select>
-        <select value={status} onChange={e => setStatus(e.target.value)}
-          className="border rounded px-3 py-1.5 text-sm">
-          <option value="scheduled">未开赛</option>
-          <option value="finished">已完赛</option>
-          <option value="">全部</option>
-        </select>
-        <div className="flex items-center gap-2 text-sm">
-          <span className="text-gray-500">模式:</span>
-          <button
-            onClick={() => setMode('single')}
-            className={`px-2 py-1 rounded text-xs ${mode === 'single' ? 'bg-blue-600 text-white' : 'bg-gray-100 text-gray-600'}`}
-          >单次</button>
-          <button
-            onClick={() => setMode('multi')}
-            className={`px-2 py-1 rounded text-xs ${mode === 'multi' ? 'bg-blue-600 text-white' : 'bg-gray-100 text-gray-600'}`}
-          >多 Agent</button>
+      {/* ── 工具栏 ── */}
+      <div className="card flex flex-wrap items-center gap-3 p-3">
+        <div className="flex items-center gap-2">
+          <label className="text-2xs font-medium text-ink-500">联赛</label>
+          <select value={league} onChange={e => setLeague(e.target.value)} className="field w-28">
+            {LEAGUES.map(l => <option key={l.code} value={l.code}>{l.name}</option>)}
+          </select>
+        </div>
+
+        <div className="flex items-center gap-2">
+          <label className="text-2xs font-medium text-ink-500">状态</label>
+          <select value={status} onChange={e => setStatus(e.target.value)} className="field w-28">
+            <option value="scheduled">未开赛</option>
+            <option value="finished">已完赛</option>
+            <option value="">全部</option>
+          </select>
+        </div>
+
+        <div className="flex items-center gap-2">
+          <label className="text-2xs font-medium text-ink-500">预测模式</label>
+          <div className="inline-flex rounded-lg bg-ink-100 p-0.5">
+            <button
+              onClick={() => setMode('single')}
+              className={`segment ${mode === 'single' ? 'segment-on' : 'segment-off'}`}
+              title="单次调用,快但只有一个模型看全部数据"
+            >单次</button>
+            <button
+              onClick={() => setMode('multi')}
+              className={`segment ${mode === 'multi' ? 'segment-on' : 'segment-off'}`}
+              title="5 个专家并行分析后由终裁汇总,质量更高"
+            >多 Agent</button>
+          </div>
+        </div>
+
+        <div className="ml-auto flex items-center gap-3">
+          <span className="text-2xs text-ink-500">
+            共 <span className="font-semibold text-ink-700">{matches.length}</span> 场
+          </span>
+          <button onClick={load} disabled={loading} className="btn-ghost btn-sm">
+            {loading ? (
+              <>
+                <Spinner /> 加载中
+              </>
+            ) : '刷新'}
+          </button>
         </div>
-        <button onClick={load} disabled={loading}
-          className="bg-blue-600 text-white text-sm px-4 py-1.5 rounded hover:bg-blue-700 disabled:opacity-50">
-          {loading ? '加载中...' : '刷新'}
-        </button>
-        <span className="text-sm text-gray-500">共 {matches.length} 场</span>
       </div>
 
+      {/* ── 错误提示 ── */}
       {error && (
-        <div className="bg-red-50 border border-red-200 text-red-700 px-4 py-2 rounded text-sm flex items-center justify-between">
-          <span>❌ {error}</span>
-          <button onClick={() => setError(null)} className="text-red-500 hover:text-red-700 text-xs">✕</button>
-        </div>
-      )}
-
-      {/* 比赛表 */}
-      <div className="bg-white rounded border overflow-hidden">
-        <table className="w-full text-sm">
-          <thead className="bg-gray-100 text-gray-600">
-            <tr>
-              <th className="text-left px-4 py-2">日期</th>
-              <th className="text-left px-4 py-2">主队</th>
-              <th className="text-left px-4 py-2">客队</th>
-              <th className="text-center px-4 py-2">比分</th>
-              <th className="text-center px-4 py-2">状态</th>
-              <th className="text-center px-4 py-2">操作</th>
-            </tr>
-          </thead>
-          <tbody>
-            {loading && (
-              <tr><td colSpan={6} className="text-center text-gray-400 py-8">
-                <span className="inline-block animate-spin mr-2">⏳</span>加载中...
-              </td></tr>
-            )}
-            {!loading && matches.length === 0 && (
-              <tr><td colSpan={6} className="text-center text-gray-400 py-8">暂无数据,请先采集</td></tr>
-            )}
-            {matches.map(m => (
-              <tr key={m.id} className="border-t hover:bg-gray-50">
-                <td className="px-4 py-2 text-gray-600">{fmtDate(m.match_date)}</td>
-                <td className="px-4 py-2 font-medium">{m.home_team_zh || m.home_team}</td>
-                <td className="px-4 py-2 font-medium">{m.away_team_zh || m.away_team}</td>
-                <td className="px-4 py-2 text-center">
-                  {m.home_goals !== null ? `${m.home_goals} - ${m.away_goals}` : '-'}
-                </td>
-                <td className="px-4 py-2 text-center">
-                  <span className={`text-xs px-2 py-0.5 rounded ${
-                    m.match_status === 'finished' ? 'bg-green-100 text-green-700' :
-                    m.match_status === 'scheduled' ? 'bg-blue-100 text-blue-700' : 'bg-gray-100'
-                  }`}>
-                    {m.match_status === 'finished' ? '完赛' : m.match_status === 'scheduled' ? '未开赛' : m.match_status}
-                  </span>
-                </td>
-                <td className="px-4 py-2 text-center">
-                  <button onClick={() => predict(m.id)}
-                    disabled={predictingId === m.id}
-                    className="text-blue-600 hover:underline text-xs disabled:opacity-50">
-                    {predictingId === m.id ? '预测中...' : 'LLM 预测'}
-                  </button>
-                </td>
-              </tr>
-            ))}
-          </tbody>
-        </table>
-      </div>
-
-      {/* 分页: 加载更多 */}
-      {nextCursor && (
-        <div className="flex justify-center">
-          <button onClick={loadMore} disabled={loadingMore}
-            className="bg-white border text-gray-700 text-sm px-6 py-2 rounded hover:bg-gray-50 disabled:opacity-50">
-            {loadingMore ? '加载中...' : '加载更多'}
+        <div className="flex items-start justify-between gap-3 rounded-card border border-red-200 bg-red-50 px-4 py-3">
+          <div className="flex items-start gap-2.5">
+            <svg viewBox="0 0 20 20" className="mt-0.5 h-4 w-4 flex-shrink-0 text-red-500" fill="currentColor" aria-hidden="true">
+              <path fillRule="evenodd" d="M10 18a8 8 0 100-16 8 8 0 000 16zM9 8a1 1 0 012 0v4a1 1 0 11-2 0V8zm1-4a1 1 0 100 2 1 1 0 000-2z" clipRule="evenodd" />
+            </svg>
+            <div>
+              <p className="text-sm font-medium text-red-800">请求失败</p>
+              <p className="mt-0.5 text-xs text-red-600">{error}</p>
+            </div>
+          </div>
+          <button onClick={() => setError(null)} className="text-red-400 transition-colors hover:text-red-600" aria-label="关闭">
+            <svg viewBox="0 0 20 20" className="h-4 w-4" fill="currentColor" aria-hidden="true">
+              <path d="M6.3 5.3a1 1 0 011.4 0L10 7.6l2.3-2.3a1 1 0 111.4 1.4L11.4 9l2.3 2.3a1 1 0 01-1.4 1.4L10 10.4l-2.3 2.3a1 1 0 01-1.4-1.4L8.6 9 6.3 6.7a1 1 0 010-1.4z" />
+            </svg>
           </button>
         </div>
       )}
 
-      {/* 预测中指示 */}
-      {predictingId && (
-        <div className="bg-blue-50 border border-blue-200 text-blue-700 px-4 py-3 rounded text-sm flex items-center gap-2">
-          <span className="inline-block animate-spin">⏳</span>
-          LLM 预测中,请稍候...
+      {/* ── 比赛列表 ── */}
+      <div className="space-y-2.5">
+        {loading && <SkeletonRows n={4} />}
+
+        {!loading && matches.length === 0 && (
+          <div className="card flex flex-col items-center justify-center gap-2 py-16">
+            <svg viewBox="0 0 24 24" className="h-10 w-10 text-ink-300" fill="none" stroke="currentColor" strokeWidth="1.4" aria-hidden="true">
+              <circle cx="12" cy="12" r="9" />
+              <path d="M12 7v5l3 2" strokeLinecap="round" />
+            </svg>
+            <p className="text-sm font-medium text-ink-600">暂无比赛数据</p>
+            <p className="text-xs text-ink-400">请先通过采集接口导入 {leagueName} 的赛程</p>
+          </div>
+        )}
+
+        {!loading && matches.map(m => {
+          const st = STATUS_META[m.match_status] ?? { label: m.match_status, cls: 'bg-ink-100 text-ink-600' }
+          const homeName = m.home_team_zh || m.home_team
+          const awayName = m.away_team_zh || m.away_team
+          const busy = predictingId === m.id
+          const active = predictionFor?.id === m.id
+
+          return (
+            <div
+              key={m.id}
+              className={`group card p-4 transition-all duration-200 hover:shadow-raise ${
+                active ? 'ring-1 ring-brand-300' : ''
+              }`}
+            >
+              <div className="flex flex-col gap-3 sm:flex-row sm:items-center sm:gap-4">
+                {/* 对阵 */}
+                <div className="flex min-w-0 flex-1 items-center gap-2 sm:gap-3">
+                  <div className="flex min-w-0 flex-1 items-center justify-end gap-2 sm:gap-2.5">
+                    <span className="truncate text-sm font-medium text-ink-800">{homeName}</span>
+                    <TeamMark name={homeName} size={36} />
+                  </div>
+
+                  <div className="flex w-14 flex-shrink-0 flex-col items-center sm:w-16">
+                    {m.home_goals !== null && m.away_goals !== null ? (
+                      <span className="text-base font-semibold tabular-nums text-ink-900">
+                        {m.home_goals}<span className="mx-0.5 text-ink-300">:</span>{m.away_goals}
+                      </span>
+                    ) : (
+                      <span className="text-xs font-medium text-ink-300">VS</span>
+                    )}
+                    {m.home_xg !== null && m.away_xg !== null && (
+                      <span className="mt-0.5 text-2xs tabular-nums text-ink-400">
+                        xG {m.home_xg.toFixed(1)}-{m.away_xg.toFixed(1)}
+                      </span>
+                    )}
+                  </div>
+
+                  <div className="flex min-w-0 flex-1 items-center gap-2 sm:gap-2.5">
+                    <TeamMark name={awayName} size={36} />
+                    <span className="truncate text-sm font-medium text-ink-800">{awayName}</span>
+                  </div>
+                </div>
+
+                <div className="flex items-center gap-3 sm:flex-shrink-0">
+                  {/* 元信息:桌面端独立成列,移动端与按钮同排 */}
+                  <div className="flex min-w-0 flex-1 flex-col items-start gap-1 sm:w-40 sm:flex-none">
+                    <span className={`pill ${st.cls}`}>
+                      <span className="h-1.5 w-1.5 rounded-full bg-current opacity-60" />
+                      {st.label}
+                    </span>
+                    <span className="truncate text-2xs text-ink-400">
+                      {m.league_code ?? '—'} · {fmtDate(m.match_date)}
+                    </span>
+                  </div>
+
+                  {/* 操作:主功能提升为实心按钮 */}
+                  <button
+                    onClick={() => predict(m)}
+                    disabled={busy}
+                    className="btn-primary btn-sm w-[88px] flex-shrink-0"
+                    title={`以${mode === 'multi' ? '多 Agent' : '单次'}模式预测这场`}
+                  >
+                    {busy ? (
+                      <>
+                        <Spinner /> 预测中
+                      </>
+                    ) : (
+                      <>
+                        <svg viewBox="0 0 20 20" className="h-3.5 w-3.5" fill="currentColor" aria-hidden="true">
+                          <path d="M10 2l1.9 5.1L17 9l-5.1 1.9L10 16l-1.9-5.1L3 9l5.1-1.9L10 2z" />
+                        </svg>
+                        预测
+                      </>
+                    )}
+                  </button>
+                </div>
+              </div>
+            </div>
+          )
+        })}
+
+        {!loading && nextCursor && (
+          <div className="flex justify-center pt-2">
+            <button onClick={loadMore} disabled={loadingMore} className="btn-ghost">
+              {loadingMore ? (
+                <>
+                  <Spinner /> 加载中
+                </>
+              ) : '加载更多'}
+            </button>
+          </div>
+        )}
+      </div>
+
+      {/* ── 预测中:占位卡片(替代 emoji 提示条) ── */}
+      {predictingId && !prediction && (
+        <div className="card animate-fade-up overflow-hidden">
+          <div className="flex items-center gap-2 border-b border-ink-200 bg-ink-50 px-5 py-3">
+            <Spinner className="text-brand-600" />
+            <span className="text-sm font-medium text-ink-700">正在生成预测</span>
+            <span className="text-xs text-ink-400">
+              {mode === 'multi' ? '· 5 个专家并行分析后由终裁汇总,约需 20-60 秒' : '· 单次调用,约需 5-15 秒'}
+            </span>
+          </div>
+          <div className="space-y-4 p-5">
+            <div className="flex items-center justify-center gap-6">
+              <div className="skeleton h-3.5 w-24" />
+              <div className="skeleton h-10 w-20 rounded-lg" />
+              <div className="skeleton h-3.5 w-24" />
+            </div>
+            <div className="skeleton h-2 w-full rounded-pill" />
+            <div className="grid grid-cols-1 gap-3 sm:grid-cols-2">
+              <div className="skeleton h-20 rounded-card" />
+              <div className="skeleton h-20 rounded-card" />
+            </div>
+          </div>
         </div>
       )}
 
-      {/* 预测结果 */}
-      {prediction && (
-        <div className="bg-white rounded border p-5 space-y-3">
-          <h3 className="font-bold text-lg">🤖 LLM 预测结果</h3>
-          <div className="grid grid-cols-2 md:grid-cols-4 gap-4 text-sm">
-            <div className="bg-blue-50 rounded p-3">
-              <div className="text-gray-500 text-xs">主进球</div>
-              <div className="text-xl font-bold">{prediction.pred_home_goals ?? '-'}</div>
-            </div>
-            <div className="bg-blue-50 rounded p-3">
-              <div className="text-gray-500 text-xs">客进球</div>
-              <div className="text-xl font-bold">{prediction.pred_away_goals ?? '-'}</div>
-            </div>
-            <div className="bg-amber-50 rounded p-3">
-              <div className="text-gray-500 text-xs">胜平负</div>
-              <div className="text-xl font-bold">{prediction.pred_1x2 ?? '-'}</div>
-            </div>
-            <div className="bg-green-50 rounded p-3">
-              <div className="text-gray-500 text-xs">置信度</div>
-              <div className="text-xl font-bold">
-                {prediction.subjective_confidence !== null ? `${(prediction.subjective_confidence * 100).toFixed(0)}%` : '-'}
-              </div>
-            </div>
-          </div>
-          <div className="text-xs text-gray-400">
-            {prediction.provider} / {prediction.model} · 耗时 {prediction.latency_ms}ms
-            {prediction.mode === 'multi' && ' · 多 Agent 模式'}
-          </div>
+      {/* ── 预测结果 ── */}
+      {prediction && predictionFor && (
+        <PredictionPanel
+          prediction={prediction}
+          match={predictionFor}
+          mode={mode}
+        />
+      )}
+    </div>
+  )
+}
 
-          {/* 各专家 agent 报告 */}
-          {prediction.agent_outputs && prediction.agent_outputs.length > 0 && (
-            <div className="space-y-2">
-              <div className="text-sm font-medium text-gray-700">专家 Agent 报告</div>
-              {prediction.agent_outputs.map((r) => (
-                <details key={r.agent} className="bg-white border rounded">
-                  <summary className="cursor-pointer px-3 py-2 text-sm flex items-center justify-between">
-                    <span className="font-medium">
-                      {AGENT_LABELS[r.agent] || r.agent}
-                      {r.status !== 'ok' && (
-                        <span className={`ml-2 text-xs px-1.5 py-0.5 rounded ${
-                          r.status === 'no_data' ? 'bg-gray-100 text-gray-500' : 'bg-red-100 text-red-600'
-                        }`}>
-                          {r.status === 'no_data' ? '无数据' : '失败'}
-                        </span>
-                      )}
-                    </span>
-                    <span className="flex gap-3 text-xs text-gray-500">
-                      {r.home_edge !== null && (
-                        <span className={r.home_edge > 0 ? 'text-blue-600' : r.home_edge < 0 ? 'text-amber-600' : ''}>
-                          主队优势 {r.home_edge > 0 ? '+' : ''}{r.home_edge.toFixed(2)}
-                        </span>
-                      )}
-                      {r.subjective_confidence !== null && <span>信心 {(r.subjective_confidence * 100).toFixed(0)}%</span>}
-                      {r.probable_score && <span>比分 {r.probable_score}</span>}
-                    </span>
-                  </summary>
-                  <div className="px-3 pb-3 pt-1 space-y-2 text-sm">
-                    {r.analysis && <p className="text-gray-700">{r.analysis}</p>}
-                    {r.key_evidence.length > 0 && (
-                      <ul className="text-xs text-gray-500 list-disc pl-4">
-                        {r.key_evidence.map((e, i) => <li key={i}>{e}</li>)}
-                      </ul>
-                    )}
-                    {r.exp_home_goals !== null && r.exp_away_goals !== null && (
-                      <div className="text-xs text-gray-500">
-                        进球期望: {r.exp_home_goals.toFixed(1)} - {r.exp_away_goals.toFixed(1)}
-                      </div>
-                    )}
-                    <div className="text-xs text-gray-400">
-                      数据充分度 {r.data_sufficiency} · {r.model} · {r.latency_ms}ms
-                    </div>
-                  </div>
-                </details>
-              ))}
-            </div>
-          )}
+function Spinner({ className = '' }: { className?: string }) {
+  // 纯 SVG 转圈,替代 emoji ⏳(各平台渲染不一致)
+  return (
+    <svg
+      viewBox="0 0 20 20"
+      className={`h-3.5 w-3.5 animate-spin ${className}`}
+      fill="none"
+      aria-hidden="true"
+    >
+      <circle cx="10" cy="10" r="7.5" stroke="currentColor" strokeWidth="2" strokeOpacity="0.25" />
+      <path d="M17.5 10A7.5 7.5 0 0010 2.5" stroke="currentColor" strokeWidth="2" strokeLinecap="round" />
+    </svg>
+  )
+}
 
-          {prediction.reasoning && (
-            <div className="bg-gray-50 rounded p-3">
-              <div className="text-xs text-gray-500 mb-1">推理过程</div>
-              <div className="text-sm whitespace-pre-wrap">{prediction.reasoning}</div>
-            </div>
-          )}
-          <details className="text-xs">
-            <summary className="cursor-pointer text-gray-500 hover:text-gray-700">查看完整上下文</summary>
-            <pre className="mt-2 bg-gray-900 text-green-300 p-3 rounded overflow-x-auto text-xs">
-              {prediction.context}
-            </pre>
-          </details>
+/** 胜平负概率条:LLM 只给主观置信度,这里把它按 1x2 结果做成单条高亮,
+ *  并显式标注「主观」避免用户误当概率 */
+function OutcomeCard({
+  pick,
+  confidence,
+}: {
+  pick: string | null
+  confidence: number | null
+}) {
+  const label = pick ? OUTCOME_LABEL[pick] ?? pick : '—'
+  const tone = pick === '1' ? 'brand' : pick === 'X' ? 'amber' : 'emerald'
+  const color =
+    tone === 'brand' ? 'text-brand-700' : tone === 'amber' ? 'text-amber-700' : 'text-emerald-700'
+  const bg = tone === 'brand' ? 'bg-brand-50' : tone === 'amber' ? 'bg-amber-50' : 'bg-emerald-50'
+  const border =
+    tone === 'brand' ? 'border-brand-100' : tone === 'amber' ? 'border-amber-100' : 'border-emerald-100'
+
+  return (
+    <div className={`rounded-card border ${border} ${bg} p-4`}>
+      <p className="text-2xs font-medium text-ink-500">胜平负</p>
+      <p className={`mt-1 text-2xl font-semibold ${color}`}>{label}</p>
+      {confidence !== null && (
+        <div className="mt-2.5 space-y-1.5">
+          <Meter value={confidence} tone={tone === 'brand' ? 'brand' : tone === 'amber' ? 'amber' : 'emerald'} />
+          <p className="text-2xs text-ink-400">主观置信度 {Math.round(confidence * 100)}%</p>
         </div>
       )}
     </div>
   )
 }
+
+function PredictionPanel({
+  prediction,
+  match,
+  mode,
+}: {
+  prediction: Prediction
+  match: Match
+  mode: 'single' | 'multi'
+}) {
+  const homeName = match.home_team_zh || match.home_team
+  const awayName = match.away_team_zh || match.away_team
+  const okReports = (prediction.agent_outputs ?? []).filter(r => r.status === 'ok')
+
+  return (
+    <div className="card animate-fade-up overflow-hidden">
+      {/* 面板头 */}
+      <div className="flex flex-wrap items-center justify-between gap-2 border-b border-ink-200 bg-ink-50 px-5 py-3">
+        <div className="flex items-center gap-2">
+          <span className="flex h-6 w-6 items-center justify-center rounded-md bg-brand-600">
+            <svg viewBox="0 0 20 20" className="h-3.5 w-3.5 text-white" fill="currentColor" aria-hidden="true">
+              <path d="M10 2l1.9 5.1L17 9l-5.1 1.9L10 16l-1.9-5.1L3 9l5.1-1.9L10 2z" />
+            </svg>
+          </span>
+          <h3 className="text-sm font-semibold text-ink-800">LLM 预测结果</h3>
+          {prediction.mode === 'multi' && (
+            <span className="pill bg-brand-50 text-brand-700">
+              多 Agent · {okReports.length}/{prediction.agent_outputs?.length ?? 0} 专家有效
+            </span>
+          )}
+        </div>
+        <span className="text-2xs text-ink-400">
+          {prediction.provider} / {prediction.model}
+          {prediction.latency_ms !== null && ` · ${(prediction.latency_ms / 1000).toFixed(1)}s`}
+        </span>
+      </div>
+
+      <div className="space-y-5 p-5">
+        {/* ── 对阵 + 预测比分(核心) ── */}
+        <div className="flex items-center justify-center gap-4 sm:gap-8">
+          <div className="flex min-w-0 flex-1 flex-col items-center gap-2 sm:flex-row sm:justify-end">
+            <span className="order-2 truncate text-sm font-medium text-ink-800 sm:order-1 sm:text-right">{homeName}</span>
+            <span className="order-1 sm:order-2"><TeamMark name={homeName} size={44} /></span>
+          </div>
+
+          <div className="flex flex-shrink-0 flex-col items-center">
+            <div className="flex items-center gap-1.5">
+              <span className="rounded-lg bg-ink-100 px-3 py-1.5 text-2xl font-semibold tabular-nums text-ink-900">
+                {prediction.pred_home_goals ?? '-'}
+              </span>
+              <span className="text-lg text-ink-300">:</span>
+              <span className="rounded-lg bg-ink-100 px-3 py-1.5 text-2xl font-semibold tabular-nums text-ink-900">
+                {prediction.pred_away_goals ?? '-'}
+              </span>
+            </div>
+            <span className="mt-1.5 text-2xs text-ink-400">预测比分</span>
+          </div>
+
+          <div className="flex min-w-0 flex-1 flex-col items-center gap-2 sm:flex-row">
+            <span className="order-1"><TeamMark name={awayName} size={44} /></span>
+            <span className="order-2 truncate text-sm font-medium text-ink-800 sm:text-left">{awayName}</span>
+          </div>
+        </div>
+
+        {/* ── 指标卡 ── */}
+        <div className="grid grid-cols-1 gap-3 sm:grid-cols-3">
+          <OutcomeCard pick={prediction.pred_1x2} confidence={prediction.subjective_confidence} />
+          <div className="rounded-card border border-ink-200 p-4">
+            <p className="text-2xs font-medium text-ink-500">预测模式</p>
+            <p className="mt-1 text-2xl font-semibold text-ink-800">{mode === 'multi' ? '多 Agent' : '单次'}</p>
+            <p className="mt-2.5 text-2xs text-ink-400">
+              prompt {prediction.prompt_version ?? '—'}
+            </p>
+          </div>
+          <div className="rounded-card border border-ink-200 p-4">
+            <p className="text-2xs font-medium text-ink-500">模型耗时</p>
+            <p className="mt-1 text-2xl font-semibold tabular-nums text-ink-800">
+              {prediction.latency_ms !== null ? (prediction.latency_ms / 1000).toFixed(1) : '—'}
+              <span className="ml-0.5 text-sm font-normal text-ink-400">s</span>
+            </p>
+            <p className="mt-2.5 text-2xs text-ink-400">含专家并行 + 终裁汇总</p>
+          </div>
+        </div>
+
+        {/* ── 专家报告 ── */}
+        {prediction.agent_outputs && prediction.agent_outputs.length > 0 && (
+          <div>
+            <div className="mb-2.5 flex items-center gap-2">
+              <h4 className="text-xs font-semibold text-ink-700">专家 Agent 报告</h4>
+              {prediction.agent_weights && (
+                <span className="text-2xs text-ink-400">
+                  终裁权重：
+                  {Object.entries(prediction.agent_weights)
+                    .sort((a, b) => b[1] - a[1])
+                    .map(([k, v]) => `${AGENT_LABELS[k] ?? k} ${Math.round(v * 100)}%`)
+                    .join(' · ')}
+                </span>
+              )}
+            </div>
+
+            <div className="grid grid-cols-1 gap-2.5 lg:grid-cols-2">
+              {prediction.agent_outputs.map(r => (
+                <AgentCard key={r.agent} report={r} />
+              ))}
+            </div>
+          </div>
+        )}
+
+        {/* ── 推理过程 ── */}
+        {prediction.reasoning && (
+          <div className="rounded-card border border-ink-200 bg-ink-50 p-4">
+            <p className="mb-2 text-2xs font-semibold uppercase tracking-wide text-ink-500">终裁推理</p>
+            <p className="whitespace-pre-wrap text-sm leading-relaxed text-ink-700">{prediction.reasoning}</p>
+          </div>
+        )}
+
+        {/* ── 原始上下文 ── */}
+        <details className="group">
+          <summary className="flex cursor-pointer list-none items-center gap-1.5 text-xs font-medium text-ink-500 transition-colors hover:text-ink-700">
+            <svg viewBox="0 0 20 20" className="h-3.5 w-3.5 transition-transform group-open:rotate-90" fill="currentColor" aria-hidden="true">
+              <path d="M7.3 5.3a1 1 0 011.4 0l4 4a1 1 0 010 1.4l-4 4a1 1 0 01-1.4-1.4L10.6 10 7.3 6.7a1 1 0 010-1.4z" />
+            </svg>
+            查看喂给模型的完整数据切片
+          </summary>
+          <pre className="mt-2 max-h-80 overflow-auto rounded-card border border-ink-700 bg-ink-900 p-4 font-mono text-2xs leading-relaxed text-ink-300">
+            {prediction.context}
+          </pre>
+        </details>
+      </div>
+    </div>
+  )
+}
+
+const STATUS_BADGE: Record<string, { label: string; cls: string }> = {
+  ok: { label: '正常', cls: 'bg-emerald-50 text-emerald-700 border-emerald-100' },
+  no_data: { label: '无数据', cls: 'bg-ink-100 text-ink-500 border-ink-200' },
+  error: { label: '调用失败', cls: 'bg-red-50 text-red-600 border-red-100' },
+  parse_error: { label: '解析失败', cls: 'bg-amber-50 text-amber-700 border-amber-100' },
+}
+
+const SUFFICIENCY_LABEL: Record<string, string> = {
+  high: '充分',
+  medium: '一般',
+  low: '偏少',
+  none: '无',
+}
+
+function AgentCard({ report: r }: { report: AgentReport }) {
+  const badge = STATUS_BADGE[r.status] ?? { label: r.status, cls: 'bg-ink-100 text-ink-500 border-ink-200' }
+  const inactive = r.status !== 'ok'
+
+  return (
+    <details className="group rounded-card border border-ink-200 bg-white transition-colors open:border-ink-300 hover:border-ink-300">
+      <summary className="flex cursor-pointer list-none items-center gap-2.5 px-3.5 py-3">
+        <svg viewBox="0 0 20 20" className="h-3.5 w-3.5 flex-shrink-0 text-ink-400 transition-transform group-open:rotate-90" fill="currentColor" aria-hidden="true">
+          <path d="M7.3 5.3a1 1 0 011.4 0l4 4a1 1 0 010 1.4l-4 4a1 1 0 01-1.4-1.4L10.6 10 7.3 6.7a1 1 0 010-1.4z" />
+        </svg>
+
+        <span className="text-sm font-medium text-ink-800">{AGENT_LABELS[r.agent] ?? r.agent}</span>
+
+        <span className={`pill border ${badge.cls}`}>{badge.label}</span>
+
+        <span className="ml-auto flex items-center gap-3 text-2xs tabular-nums text-ink-500">
+          {r.status === 'ok' && r.subjective_confidence !== null && (
+            <span>信心 {Math.round(r.subjective_confidence * 100)}%</span>
+          )}
+          {r.status === 'ok' && r.probable_score && (
+            <span className="rounded bg-ink-100 px-1.5 py-0.5 font-medium text-ink-600">{r.probable_score}</span>
+          )}
+        </span>
+      </summary>
+
+      <div className="space-y-3 border-t border-ink-100 px-3.5 pb-3.5 pt-3">
+        {/* 无数据 / 失败时给出明确说明,避免用户以为是空白 bug */}
+        {inactive && (
+          <p className="text-xs leading-relaxed text-ink-500">
+            {r.status === 'no_data' && '该维度没有可用数据,已跳过 LLM 分析以节省额度(不影响其他专家)。'}
+            {r.status === 'error' && '该专家调用失败,本次结论未纳入其视角(fail-open 设计,不阻断整体预测)。'}
+            {r.status === 'parse_error' && '模型输出未通过格式校验,该报告已丢弃。'}
+          </p>
+        )}
+
+        {!inactive && r.home_edge !== null && (
+          <div>
+            <div className="mb-1.5 flex items-center justify-between text-2xs">
+              <span className="font-medium text-ink-500">主队优势</span>
+              <span className={`font-semibold tabular-nums ${r.home_edge > 0 ? 'text-brand-600' : r.home_edge < 0 ? 'text-amber-600' : 'text-ink-500'}`}>
+                {r.home_edge > 0 ? '+' : ''}{r.home_edge.toFixed(2)}
+              </span>
+            </div>
+            <EdgeBar value={r.home_edge} />
+            <div className="mt-1 flex justify-between text-2xs text-ink-400">
+              <span>利客队</span>
+              <span>利主队</span>
+            </div>
+          </div>
+        )}
+
+        {r.analysis && (
+          <p className="text-sm leading-relaxed text-ink-700">{r.analysis}</p>
+        )}
+
+        {r.key_evidence.length > 0 && (
+          <ul className="space-y-1.5">
+            {r.key_evidence.map((e, i) => (
+              <li key={i} className="flex gap-2 text-xs leading-relaxed text-ink-600">
+                <span className="mt-1.5 h-1 w-1 flex-shrink-0 rounded-full bg-ink-300" />
+                <span>{e}</span>
+              </li>
+            ))}
+          </ul>
+        )}
+
+        {r.exp_home_goals !== null && r.exp_away_goals !== null && (
+          <div className="flex items-center gap-2 rounded-lg bg-ink-50 px-3 py-2">
+            <span className="text-2xs font-medium text-ink-500">进球期望</span>
+            <span className="text-sm font-semibold tabular-nums text-ink-800">
+              {r.exp_home_goals.toFixed(1)} - {r.exp_away_goals.toFixed(1)}
+            </span>
+          </div>
+        )}
+
+        {!inactive && (
+          <div className="flex flex-wrap items-center gap-x-3 gap-y-1 border-t border-ink-100 pt-2.5 text-2xs text-ink-400">
+            <span>数据充分度 {SUFFICIENCY_LABEL[r.data_sufficiency] ?? r.data_sufficiency}</span>
+            <span className="font-mono">{r.model}</span>
+            {r.latency_ms !== null && <span className="tabular-nums">{r.latency_ms}ms</span>}
+          </div>
+        )}
+      </div>
+    </details>
+  )
+}