P0-05: confidence → subjective_confidence 改名(15 文件)
LLM 主观置信度与概率分离
P0-02: predictions 增加 cutoff_at + input_hash(轻量快照)
MatchContext 暴露 match_dt
单/多 Agent 路径均记录快照元数据
P2-05: 数据库 CHECK 约束
- pred_home_goals >= 0
- pred_away_goals >= 0
- subjective_confidence 0~1
- pred_1x2 IN (1,X,2)
- mode IN (single,multi)
P2-06: limit 分页约束(ge=1, le=200)
P2-01: 新增 /health/ready 就绪检查
372 lines
15 KiB
Python
372 lines
15 KiB
Python
"""上下文构建器:数据切片 + 拼接。
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架构:
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- match_header: 比赛基础信息(对阵双方/联赛/时间)
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- 切片函数: 每个领域 agent 一个数据切片(h2h / form / standings / injuries / xg)
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- build_context: 单 agent 路径,拼接全部切片(行为与旧版一致)
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multi-agent 路径由 agents/orchestrator.py 调用切片函数,每个专家只拿自己的切片。
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"""
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from __future__ import annotations
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import logging
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from dataclasses import dataclass
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from sqlalchemy import select
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from sqlalchemy.orm import selectinload
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from src.db.base import AsyncSessionLocal
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from src.db.models import Match
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logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
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def _outcome(home_goals: int, away_goals: int, side: str) -> str:
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"""从某队视角看赛果: W/D/L。"""
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if home_goals is None or away_goals is None:
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return "?"
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if side == "home":
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return "W" if home_goals > away_goals else ("D" if home_goals == away_goals else "L")
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return "W" if away_goals > home_goals else ("D" if away_goals == home_goals else "L")
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@dataclass
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class MatchContext:
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match_id: int
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text: str
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has_stats: bool
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has_injuries: bool
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match_dt: object | None = None # 比赛时间(回测防泄漏 + 快照用)
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@dataclass
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class MatchHeader:
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"""比赛基础信息(所有 agent 共享)。"""
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match_id: int
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home_name: str
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away_name: str
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league_name: str
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season: str | None
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match_date: str
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match_dt: object # 原始 datetime,回测防泄漏用
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stage: str | None
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home_team_id: int
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away_team_id: int
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league_id: int
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async def load_match_header(match_id: int) -> MatchHeader:
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"""加载比赛头信息(各 agent 共用)。"""
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async with AsyncSessionLocal() as db:
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m = await _load_match(db, match_id)
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return _to_header(m)
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def _to_header(m: Match) -> MatchHeader:
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return MatchHeader(
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match_id=m.id,
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home_name=m.home_team.name_zh or m.home_team.name,
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away_name=m.away_team.name_zh or m.away_team.name,
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league_name=m.league.name if m.league else "?",
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season=m.season,
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match_date=m.match_date.strftime("%Y-%m-%d %H:%M UTC") if m.match_date else "?",
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match_dt=m.match_date,
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stage=m.match_stage,
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home_team_id=m.home_team_id,
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away_team_id=m.away_team_id,
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league_id=m.league_id,
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)
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def header_text(h: MatchHeader) -> str:
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stage = f" {h.stage}" if h.stage else ""
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return (
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f"对阵: {h.home_name} vs {h.away_name} | {h.league_name} {h.season or '?'}{stage} | {h.match_date}"
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)
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# ============================================================
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# 切片函数: 每个领域 agent 一个
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# ============================================================
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async def h2h_slice(header: MatchHeader, *, limit: int = 8, before=None) -> str:
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"""E - 历史交锋切片: 过去数年 + 近期交手数据,提取交手规律。before=match_date 用于回测。"""
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async with AsyncSessionLocal() as db:
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h2h = await _get_h2h(db, header.home_team_id, header.away_team_id, before=before, limit=limit)
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lines = [f"── 历史交锋(近 {limit} 次) ──"]
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if h2h:
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home_wins = draws = away_wins = 0
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for hm in h2h:
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d = hm.match_date.strftime("%Y-%m") if hm.match_date else "?"
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if hm.home_goals is not None:
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if hm.home_goals > hm.away_goals: home_wins += 1
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elif hm.home_goals == hm.away_goals: draws += 1
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else: away_wins += 1
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lines.append(f" {d}: {hm.home_team.name} {hm.home_goals}-{hm.away_goals} {hm.away_team.name}")
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else:
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lines.append(f" {d}: {hm.home_team.name} vs {hm.away_team.name} (无比分)")
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total = home_wins + draws + away_wins
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if total:
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lines.append(f" 总计 {total} 场: 主队 {home_wins}胜 {draws}平 {away_wins}负")
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else:
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lines.append(" 无数据")
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return "\n".join(lines)
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async def form_slice(header: MatchHeader, *, limit: int = 5, before=None) -> str:
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"""A - 近期状态切片: 两队近 N 场赛果、关键事件、走势判断。before=match_date 用于回测。"""
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async with AsyncSessionLocal() as db:
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home_form = await _get_form(db, header.home_team_id, before=before, limit=limit)
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away_form = await _get_form(db, header.away_team_id, before=before, limit=limit)
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lines = []
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for label, name, form, side in (
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("主队", header.home_name, home_form, "home"),
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("客队", header.away_name, away_form, "away"),
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):
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lines.append(f"── {label}近况({name},近 {limit} 场) ──")
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if form:
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wins = draws = losses = 0
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for fm in form:
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o = _outcome(fm.home_goals, fm.away_goals, side)
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if o == "W": wins += 1
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elif o == "D": draws += 1
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else: losses += 1
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score = f"{fm.home_goals}-{fm.away_goals}" if fm.home_goals is not None else "vs"
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xg = ""
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if fm.stats and fm.stats.home_xg is not None:
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own = fm.stats.home_xg if side == "home" else fm.stats.away_xg
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xg = f" (xG {own:.1f})"
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opp = fm.away_team.name if side == "home" else fm.home_team.name
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lines.append(f" {o} {score} vs {opp}{xg}")
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lines.append(f" 近 {len(form)} 场: {wins}胜 {draws}平 {losses}负")
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else:
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lines.append(" 无数据")
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return "\n".join(lines)
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async def stats_slice(header: MatchHeader, *, limit: int = 10, before=None) -> str:
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"""B - 攻防数据切片: 进球、射门、控球,评估攻防强度。before=match_date 用于回测。"""
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async with AsyncSessionLocal() as db:
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home_form = await _get_form(db, header.home_team_id, before=before, limit=limit)
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away_form = await _get_form(db, header.away_team_id, before=before, limit=limit)
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lines = [f"── 攻防数据(近 {limit} 场) ──"]
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for label, name, form, side in (
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("主队", header.home_name, home_form, "home"),
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("客队", header.away_name, away_form, "away"),
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):
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if form:
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gf = ga = shots = sot = poss = xg = xga = 0
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n = n_shots = n_poss = n_xg = 0
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for fm in form:
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if fm.home_goals is None: continue
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gf += fm.home_goals if side == "home" else fm.away_goals
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ga += fm.away_goals if side == "home" else fm.home_goals
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n += 1
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if fm.stats:
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if fm.stats.home_shots is not None:
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shots += fm.stats.home_shots if side == "home" else fm.stats.away_shots
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sot += fm.stats.home_shots_on_target if side == "home" else fm.stats.away_shots_on_target
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n_shots += 1
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if fm.stats.home_possession is not None:
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poss += fm.stats.home_possession if side == "home" else (100 - fm.stats.home_possession)
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n_poss += 1
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if fm.stats.home_xg is not None:
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xg += fm.stats.home_xg if side == "home" else fm.stats.away_xg
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xga += fm.stats.away_xg if side == "home" else fm.stats.home_xg
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n_xg += 1
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if n > 0:
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lines.append(f" {label} {name}:")
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lines.append(f" 场均进球 {gf/n:.2f}, 场均失球 {ga/n:.2f}")
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if n_shots: lines.append(f" 场均射门 {shots/n_shots:.1f}, 射正 {sot/n_shots:.1f}")
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if n_poss: lines.append(f" 平均控球 {poss/n_poss:.1f}%")
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if n_xg: lines.append(f" 场均 xG {xg/n_xg:.2f}, 场均被 xG {xga/n_xg:.2f}")
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else:
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lines.append(f" {label} {name}: 无比分数据")
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else:
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lines.append(f" {label} {name}: 无数据")
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return "\n".join(lines)
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async def home_away_slice(header: MatchHeader, *, limit: int = 10, before=None) -> str:
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"""C - 主客因素切片: 主场战绩 vs 客场战绩,评估地理优势影响。before=match_date 用于回测。"""
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async with AsyncSessionLocal() as db:
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home_home = await _get_home_away(db, header.home_team_id, "home", before=before, limit=limit)
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away_away = await _get_home_away(db, header.away_team_id, "away", before=before, limit=limit)
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lines = ["── 主客因素 ──"]
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for label, name, matches, side in (
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("主队主场", header.home_name, home_home, "home"),
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("客队客场", header.away_name, away_away, "away"),
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):
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if matches:
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wins = draws = losses = gf = ga = 0
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for m in matches:
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if m.home_goals is None: continue
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o = _outcome(m.home_goals, m.away_goals, side)
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if o == "W": wins += 1
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elif o == "D": draws += 1
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else: losses += 1
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gf += m.home_goals if side == "home" else m.away_goals
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ga += m.away_goals if side == "home" else m.home_goals
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n = wins + draws + losses
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if n > 0:
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pct = wins / n * 100
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lines.append(f" {label} {name}(近 {n} 场): {wins}胜 {draws}平 {losses}负, 胜率 {pct:.0f}%")
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lines.append(f" 场均进球 {gf/n:.2f}, 场均失球 {ga/n:.2f}")
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else:
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lines.append(f" {label} {name}: 无比分数据")
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else:
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lines.append(f" {label} {name}: 无数据")
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return "\n".join(lines)
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async def injuries_slice(header: MatchHeader, *, before=None) -> str:
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"""D - 阵容完整性切片: 伤停与停赛名单,评估战力缺失程度。
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before=cutoff: 只使用 cutoff 之前已采集的伤停数据,防回测泄漏。
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"""
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from src.data.injuries import get_injuries_for_match
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cutoff = before or header.match_dt
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async with AsyncSessionLocal() as db:
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home_injuries = await get_injuries_for_match(db, header.home_team_id, cutoff, as_of=cutoff)
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away_injuries = await get_injuries_for_match(db, header.away_team_id, cutoff, as_of=cutoff)
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lines = ["── 阵容完整性 ──"]
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has_data = False
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for label, injuries in (("主队", home_injuries), ("客队", away_injuries)):
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if injuries:
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has_data = True
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lines.append(f" {label}伤停({len(injuries)}人):")
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for inj in injuries[:8]: # 最多显示 8 条
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reason = inj.reason or inj.injury_type or "未知"
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lines.append(f" - {inj.player_name}: {reason}")
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if len(injuries) > 8:
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lines.append(f" ...及其他 {len(injuries) - 8} 人")
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else:
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lines.append(f" {label}: 无伤停数据")
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if not has_data:
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return "── 阵容完整性 ──\n 无数据"
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return "\n".join(lines)
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# ============================================================
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# 单 agent 路径: 拼接全部切片(行为与旧版一致)
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# ============================================================
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async def build_context(match_id: int, *, form_last: int = 5, h2h_last: int = 5) -> MatchContext:
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"""单 agent 路径的完整上下文: 拼接全部切片(before=比赛时间,防未来信息)。"""
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header = await load_match_header(match_id)
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parts = [header_text(header), ""]
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has_stats = False
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has_injuries = False
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form_text = await form_slice(header, limit=form_last, before=header.match_dt)
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if "无数据" not in form_text:
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has_stats = True
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parts.append(form_text)
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parts.append("")
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h2h_text = await h2h_slice(header, limit=h2h_last, before=header.match_dt)
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parts.append(h2h_text)
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parts.append("")
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stats_text = await stats_slice(header, before=header.match_dt)
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if "无数据" not in stats_text:
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has_stats = True
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parts.append(stats_text)
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parts.append("")
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home_away_text = await home_away_slice(header, before=header.match_dt)
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parts.append(home_away_text)
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parts.append("")
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injuries_text = await injuries_slice(header, before=header.match_dt)
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if "无数据" not in injuries_text:
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has_injuries = True
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parts.append(injuries_text)
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return MatchContext(
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match_id=match_id,
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text="\n".join(parts),
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has_stats=has_stats,
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has_injuries=has_injuries,
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match_dt=header.match_dt,
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)
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# ============================================================
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# 底层查询(切片函数共用)
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# ============================================================
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async def _load_match(db, match_id: int) -> Match:
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stmt = (
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select(Match)
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.where(Match.id == match_id)
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.options(
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selectinload(Match.league),
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selectinload(Match.home_team),
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selectinload(Match.away_team),
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selectinload(Match.stats),
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)
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)
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m = (await db.execute(stmt)).scalar_one_or_none()
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if m is None:
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raise ValueError(f"match {match_id} not found")
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return m
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async def _get_form(db, team_id: int, before, *, limit: int = 5) -> list[Match]:
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"""某队近 N 场(已完赛)。before=None 表示不限制(预测赛前的场景由调用方保证)。"""
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stmt = (
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select(Match)
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.where(Match.match_status == "finished")
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.where(Match.home_goals.is_not(None))
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.where((Match.home_team_id == team_id) | (Match.away_team_id == team_id))
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.order_by(Match.match_date.desc())
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.limit(limit)
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)
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if before is not None:
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stmt = stmt.where(Match.match_date < before)
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result = await db.execute(stmt)
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return list(result.scalars().all())
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async def _get_h2h(db, home_id: int, away_id: int, before, *, limit: int = 5) -> list[Match]:
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"""两队交锋史。"""
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stmt = (
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select(Match)
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.where(Match.match_status == "finished")
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.where(Match.home_goals.is_not(None))
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.where(
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((Match.home_team_id == home_id) & (Match.away_team_id == away_id))
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| ((Match.home_team_id == away_id) & (Match.away_team_id == home_id))
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)
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.order_by(Match.match_date.desc())
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.limit(limit)
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)
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if before is not None:
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stmt = stmt.where(Match.match_date < before)
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result = await db.execute(stmt)
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return list(result.scalars().all())
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async def _get_home_away(db, team_id: int, side: str, before, *, limit: int = 10) -> list[Match]:
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"""某队主场/客场近 N 场。side='home' 取主场,'away' 取客场。"""
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stmt = (
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select(Match)
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.where(Match.match_status == "finished")
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.where(Match.home_goals.is_not(None))
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.order_by(Match.match_date.desc())
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.limit(limit)
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)
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if side == "home":
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stmt = stmt.where(Match.home_team_id == team_id)
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else:
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stmt = stmt.where(Match.away_team_id == team_id)
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if before is not None:
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stmt = stmt.where(Match.match_date < before)
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result = await db.execute(stmt)
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return list(result.scalars().all())
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